Baytex Energy Corp Stock Performance

BTE Stock  CAD 5.43  0.15  2.84%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Baytex Energy holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0541, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Baytex Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Baytex Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Baytex Energy's value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Baytex Energy's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Baytex Energy Corp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Baytex Energy displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.017
Payout Ratio
0.2788
Forward Dividend Rate
0.09
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
TD Securities Raises Baytex Energy Price Target to C5.00 - MarketBeat
12/23/2025
2
Heres What Wall Street Thinks About Baytex Energy - Finviz
01/02/2026
3
Moodys downgrades Baytex Energy after Eagle Ford sale By Investing.com - Investing.com India
01/06/2026
4
1 Canadian Energy Stock Poised for Big Growth in 2026 - Yahoo Finance Canada
01/13/2026
5
Scotiabank Boosts Baytex Energy Price Target to C5.50 - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
6
Assessing Baytex Energy Valuation After US2.14b Eagle Ford Asset Sale And Refocus On Canada - simplywall.st
01/27/2026
7
Canaccord Genuity Sticks to Their Hold Rating for Baytex Energy - The Globe and Mail
02/04/2026
8
How The Narrative Around Baytex Energy TSXBTE Is Shifting After The Eagle Ford Sale - Yahoo Finance Singapore
02/13/2026
9
Baytex Energy Backed by BMO Capital Price Target Set at CA6.00 - timothysykes.com
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow55.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B
  

Baytex Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  449.00  in Baytex Energy Corp on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  94.00  from holding Baytex Energy Corp or generate 20.94% return on investment over 90 days. Baytex Energy Corp is generating 0.349% of daily returns assuming 2.5403% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 22% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Baytex Energy, and 93% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baytex Energy is expected to generate 3.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Baytex Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Baytex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.43 90 days 5.43 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baytex Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baytex Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Baytex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baytex Energy has a beta of 0.0541 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baytex Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baytex Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baytex Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.3161, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baytex Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baytex Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baytex Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.915.437.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.595.117.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.875.397.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.020.010.06
Details

Baytex Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baytex Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baytex Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baytex Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baytex Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Baytex Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baytex Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baytex Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baytex Energy Corp has accumulated 2.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Baytex Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baytex Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baytex Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baytex Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baytex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baytex Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchcliff Energy Shares Gap Up - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat

Baytex Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baytex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baytex Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baytex Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding807.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.6 M

Baytex Energy Fundamentals Growth

Baytex Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Baytex Energy, and Baytex Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Baytex Stock performance.

About Baytex Energy Performance

By examining Baytex Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Baytex Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Baytex Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.58  2.45 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.07 

Things to note about Baytex Energy Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baytex Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Baytex Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baytex Energy Corp has accumulated 2.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Baytex Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baytex Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baytex Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baytex Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baytex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baytex Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchcliff Energy Shares Gap Up - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
Evaluating Baytex Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Baytex Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Baytex Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Baytex Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Baytex Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Baytex Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Baytex Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Baytex Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Baytex Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Baytex Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Baytex Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Baytex Energy Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Baytex Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Baytex Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Baytex Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Baytex Energy Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
It's important to distinguish between Baytex Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Baytex Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Baytex Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.